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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| YouSayUpISayDown | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (3316–2634, n=5950) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #356 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (8 of 14 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Economy −4 pts, n=17 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 1257 at avg 60¢, ROI +20% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 30% of 261) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 87% of 196) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 90% of 221) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 98% of 579) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | YouSayUpISayDown | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $469 | — | Yes $37K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $202 | — | No $35K |