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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ZaiZoiBeleBreakTheBankRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)87% (4860–701, n=5561)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$338K$10.6M$13.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #271PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus100% (8 of 8 open)73% (73 of 100 open)53% (57 of 108 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=224, ROI +10%
  • Soccer +9 pts n=4159, ROI +7%
  • NBA +10 pts n=268, ROI +8%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 4697 at avg 86¢, ROI +7%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 42% of 168)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 66% of 213)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 87% of 351)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up84% (won 99% of 3965)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketZaiZoiBeleBreakTheBankRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4.2K—Under $1.0K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $3.1K—Under $6—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $209—No $26—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $131—No $18—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—
SC Braga leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $178—No $371—