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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Zzzz87joseph00677BreakTheBank0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)49% (2796–2863, n=5659)50% (10–10, n=20)45% (542–652, n=1194)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$1.1M$5.3M$10.6M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #159PM monthly #2PM monthly #1was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus61% (27 of 44 open)no open consensus position90% (149 of 165 open)64% (7 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMLB ±0 pts, n=438——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won50% of 5302 at avg 49¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 12% of 1416)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 82% of 56)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 45% of 1100)6% (won 0% of 1)36% (won 98% of 198)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 63% of 1633)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 191)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 84% of 1153)18% (won 67% of 3)19% (won 100% of 107)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketZzzz87joseph00677BreakTheBank0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $202—Yes $274K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $311—Yes $15K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $489—No $407K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7K—Yes $280K—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $769—Yes $14K—