← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| akroll | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 27% (441–1223, n=1664) | no settled market | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) |
| Consensus PnL | $38K | — | $7.6M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #78 | — | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (24 of 28 open) | no open consensus position | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 68% (267 of 391 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet | ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=189 | — | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 564 at avg 47¢, ROI +12% | — | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 47% (won 2% of 266) | — | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 40% of 30) | — | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 59% of 37) | — | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 95% of 231) | — | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.