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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| alex20011 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (2858–2673, n=5531) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $196K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #41 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (28 of 34 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Elections ±0 pts, n=204 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 72% of 1349 at avg 71¢, ROI +10% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 10% of 228) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 50% of 123) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 146) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 63% (won 93% of 852) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | alex20011 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.4K | Yes $38K | — | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $5.7K | No $24K | — | — |