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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
alpheclabs20x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)43% (66–86, n=152)46% (131–154, n=285)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$30K-$6.6M$14.8M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #234was PM monthly #715PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)no open consensus position54% (30 of 56 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won44% of 122 at avg 40¢, ROI +15%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢39% (won 13% of 48)0% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 52% of 31)42% (won 46% of 565)22% (won 94% of 5518)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 62% of 26)57% (won 51% of 766)36% (won 99% of 8928)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 94% of 17)0% (won 100% of 4)32% (won 100% of 7821)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketalpheclabs20x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1beachboy4
Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4—Under $4.3K—