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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| alpheclabs2 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (126–162, n=288) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (13887–15369, n=29256) |
| Consensus PnL | $24K | $11.1M | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #234 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 82% (134 of 164 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (34 of 55 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 122 at avg 40¢, ROI +15% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 39% (won 13% of 48) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 52% of 31) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 62% of 26) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 94% of 17) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | alpheclabs2 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mjallby AIF vs. Kalmar FF: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $417 | — | — | Under $1.8K |