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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
alpheclabs2beachboy4primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (977–1204, n=2181)no settled market50% (1116–1127, n=2243)48% (14167–15640, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$85K—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #407—PM monthly #53PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (6 of 11 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position57% (17 of 30 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=711———
Settled positions, side won47% of 1703 at avg 45¢, ROI +3%—99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢32% (won 13% of 548)—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 42% of 400)—41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 62% of 382)—50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 89% of 373)—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketalpheclabs2beachboy4primmRN1
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $4——Ipek Oz $685