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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ameisgoat11 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5491–4884, n=10375) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) |
| Consensus PnL | $78K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #943 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 85% (50 of 59 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 252 at avg 55¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 6% of 47) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 33% of 58) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 68% of 65) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 93% of 82) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ameisgoat11 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taipei: Kasidit Samrej vs Omar Jasika opposite sides · consensus Kasidit Samrej | Omar Jasika $3 | — | — | Kasidit Samrej $4.7K |