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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
anoin123BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)50% (291–293, n=584)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$1.3M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #18PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus61% (54 of 89 open)78% (42 of 54 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won92% of 480 at avg 80¢, ROI −12%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 63% of 40)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 83% of 23)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 76% of 49)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up77% (won 98% of 368)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketanoin123BreakTheBank
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $29KNo $85K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $26KYes $71K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $20KNo $35K
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
No $3.8KNo $411K