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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
anothercoinbeachboy4Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)55% (703–580, n=1283)no settled market53% (5923–5296, n=11219)65% (886–468, n=1354)
Consensus PnL$36K—$3.3M$4.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #188—PM monthly #21PM monthly #145
Sides with the consensus75% (399 of 530 open)no open consensus position62% (211 of 340 open)74% (34 of 46 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicElections −6 pts, n=26—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won21% of 70 at avg 26¢, ROI +7%—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢77% (won 0% of 54)—29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢0%—16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 50% of 2)—17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 14)—38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketanothercoinbeachboy4Flaznorpndb1
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $262——Yes $1.9K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2028 elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2——Yes $48