← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| austr | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 88% (581–77, n=658) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (863–456, n=1319) | 47% (13923–15417, n=29340) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.1K | $5.6M | $4.1M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #984 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 71% (52 of 73 open) | 60% (45 of 75 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 468 at avg 79¢, ROI +7% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 2% (won 44% of 9) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 86% of 28) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 252) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 88% of 83) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 306) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 74% (won 98% of 348) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 540) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | austr | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $7.0K | No $13K |