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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
babybellsBreakTheBankclassified
Record (consensus markets)80% (57–14, n=71)60% (12–8, n=20)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$4.9K$779K$3.8K
Tracked asPM monthly #904PM monthly #1PM monthly #290
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)46% (6 of 13 open)50% (6 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——Elections −2 pts, n=101
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)46% (won 4% of 152)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)4% (won 47% of 15)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)7% (won 78% of 23)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)43% (won 98% of 144)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbabybellsBreakTheBankclassified
Celtics vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
76ers $151Celtics $117K—