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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bands1 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (449–450, n=899) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 45% (10–12, n=22) |
| Consensus PnL | -$342K | $7.6M | $4.1M | $5.3M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #208 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (7 of 13 open) | 89% (32 of 36 open) | 67% (105 of 157 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=159 | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 847 at avg 51¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 20% of 60) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 47% of 331) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 51% of 375) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 79% of 81) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bands1 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Patriots | Patriots $2.5K | — | Patriots $42 | — |
| Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) same side · consensus Como 1907 | FC Internazionale Milano $19 | — | FC Internazionale Milano $671 | — |