← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bands1 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (423–431, n=854) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 49% (1129–1155, n=2284) |
| Consensus PnL | -$395K | $7.3M | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #359 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #50 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (9 of 14 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 70% (55 of 79 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=159 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 847 at avg 51¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 20% of 60) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 47% of 331) | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 51% of 375) | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 79% of 81) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bands1 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $44 | — | Yes $29 | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K | — |