← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bands1 | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (452–449, n=901) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 44% (11396–14488, n=25884) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | -$338K | $7.7M | -$8.8M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #232 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #108 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 81% (29 of 36 open) | 55% (17 of 31 open) | 74% (73 of 99 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=159 | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 847 at avg 51¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 20% of 60) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 47% of 331) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 51% of 375) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 79% of 81) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bands1 | BreakTheBank | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bears (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $31K | Bears $12K | — | — |
| Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $45 | — | — | Yes $20 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $421K | — | No $346K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $306K | — | Yes $12K |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $96 | Bears $8.9K | — |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.3K | Under $1.8K | — |