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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bands1 | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (435–436, n=871) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | -$385K | $7.6M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #354 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (10 of 15 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 71% (12 of 17 open) | 50% (15 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=159 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 847 at avg 51¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 20% of 60) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 47% of 331) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 51% of 375) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 79% of 81) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bands1 | BreakTheBank | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: UCLA (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus UCLA | Minnesota $22 | — | UCLA $585 | — |