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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bands1 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (449–450, n=899) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | -$342K | $4.1M | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #206 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #98 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (9 of 16 open) | 70% (115 of 165 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (111 of 152 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −2 pts, n=159 | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 847 at avg 51¢, ROI −2% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 20% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 47% of 331) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 44% (won 51% of 375) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 79% of 81) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bands1 | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Como 1907 | FC Internazionale Milano $5.5K | Como 1907 $15K | — | — |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.3K | — | No $115 |
| Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? opposite sides · consensus No | No $44 | — | — | Yes $22 |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $14K | No $22K | — | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Patriots | Patriots $3.2K | Patriots $42 | — | — |