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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Biggggggggjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)68% (43–20, n=63)42% (1348–1840, n=3188)53% (10–9, n=19)66% (875–457, n=1332)
Consensus PnL$5.9M$631K$5.6M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24PM monthly #9PM monthly #2PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)76% (178 of 235 open)no open consensus position72% (91 of 127 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93Economy −5 pts, n=105—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%68% of 3485 at avg 66¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)28% (won 8% of 963)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)5% (won 43% of 174)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)5% (won 67% of 172)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)62% (won 97% of 2176)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Biggggggggjoseph00677ndb1
Will Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2—No $171
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $4—No $43
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3—No $13