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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | LightParadox | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 54% (418–358, n=776) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.9M | $11.1M | $15K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #807 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 65% (117 of 181 open) | 55% (75 of 136 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 137 at avg 63¢, ROI +40% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 12% (won 100% of 16) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 27% (won 100% of 37) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 15% (won 100% of 21) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 46% (won 100% of 63) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | LightParadox |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks vs. Pacers opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $299K | Pacers $593 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $249K | Pelicans $4.8K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $44K | Pelicans $17K |
| Spread: Hawks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $30K | Pacers $376 |
| Spread: Hawks (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $12K | Pacers $4.7K |
| Nets vs. Knicks same side · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $217K | Knicks $159 |
| Spread: Hawks (-9.5) same side · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $76K | Hawks $259 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | — | Grizzlies $4.6K | Grizzlies $283 |
| Spread: Hawks (-14.5) same side · consensus Pacers | — | Hawks $127 | Hawks $107 |