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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | LightParadox | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 54% (691–600, n=1291) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $11.0M | $23K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #213 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 60% (68 of 113 open) | 54% (42 of 78 open) | 53% (41 of 77 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 392 at avg 70¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 6% (won 100% of 23) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 19% (won 100% of 76) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 20% (won 100% of 78) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 55% (won 100% of 215) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | LightParadox | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlottesville: Harry Wendelken vs Andres Andrade opposite sides · consensus Andres Andrade | — | — | Andres Andrade $3.7K | Harry Wendelken $15K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Filip Misolic vs Juan Pablo Varillas opposite sides · consensus Filip Misolic | — | — | Juan Pablo Varillas $123 | Filip Misolic $9.6K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli opposite sides · consensus Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | — | — | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo $1.0K | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $7.6K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes opposite sides · consensus Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | — | — | Igor Ribeiro Marcondes $2.0K | Luis Felipe Miguel $1.3K |
| Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Dylan Dietrich opposite sides · consensus Marcos Giron | — | — | Dylan Dietrich $1.1K | Marcos Giron $1.9K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Lucas Da Silva vs Lautaro Midon opposite sides · consensus Lautaro Midon | — | — | Lucas Da Silva $5 | Lautaro Midon $2.9K |
| Cali: Sofia Costoulas vs Marina Bassols Ribera opposite sides · consensus Marina Bassols Ribera | — | — | Marina Bassols Ribera $2.3K | Sofia Costoulas $4 |
| Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.5K | No $495 |
| Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2 | Over $1.3K |
| Cali: Tamara Zidansek vs Bianca Andreescu opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | — | Tamara Zidansek $15 | Bianca Andreescu $899 |
| Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1 | No $19 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Rafael Jodar same side · consensus Casper Ruud | — | — | Casper Ruud $11K | Casper Ruud $39K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Rafael Tosetto vs Franco Roncadelli same side · consensus Franco Roncadelli | — | — | Franco Roncadelli $16K | Franco Roncadelli $10K |
| Chennai Open: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Simona Waltert same side · consensus Simona Waltert | — | — | Simona Waltert $4.1K | Simona Waltert $5.4K |
| Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Norbert Gombos same side · consensus Dalibor Svrcina | — | — | Norbert Gombos $3.9K | Norbert Gombos $26 |
| Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jonas Forejtek same side · consensus Kimmer Coppejans | — | — | Kimmer Coppejans $192 | Kimmer Coppejans $2.0K |
| Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $282 | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: IK Sirius 0 - 0 Halmstads BK? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $139 | No $130 |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $126 | No $139 |
| Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $26 | No $46 |
| Cali: Rebeka Masarova vs Alice Tubello same side · consensus Alice Tubello | — | — | Rebeka Masarova $33 | Rebeka Masarova $12 |
| Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $22 | Over $19 |
| Villa Maria: Valentino Grippo vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri same side · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri | — | — | Valentino Grippo $9 | Valentino Grippo $11 |