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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankclaudionetotraderFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (572–710, n=1282)57% (1094–822, n=1916)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$86K$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #759PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position85% (28 of 33 open)50% (1 of 2 open)69% (133 of 193 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 12% of 428)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)10% (won 38% of 156)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)14% (won 75% of 215)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)46% (won 97% of 692)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankclaudionetotraderFlaznorp
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $648Over $20