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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankjoseph00677Multicoloured-Serf
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (572–710, n=1282)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (271–305, n=576)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$5.3M-$154K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #3PM monthly #23
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position84% (26 of 31 open)no open consensus position50% (11 of 22 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)0% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)6% (won 0% of 1)47% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)65% (won 73% of 11)47% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)6% (won 100% of 13)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankjoseph00677Multicoloured-Serf
Heat vs. Warriors
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $821—Heat $83K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Warriors $3.5K—Heat $15K