← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | quietparcel | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 44% (6313–8127, n=14440) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $4.2M | $45K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #150 | PM monthly #251 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 74% (35 of 47 open) | 83% (171 of 206 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Mentions −4 pts, n=646 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 58% (won 1% of 3260) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 2% (won 39% of 118) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 4% (won 60% of 198) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 36% (won 96% of 2049) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | quietparcel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $642K | No $234K | — |