← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 53% (2477–2212, n=4689) | 48% (14163–15644, n=29807) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $7.9M | $12K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #981 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 85% (28 of 33 open) | 53% (28 of 53 open) | 55% (31 of 56 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 98% of 1031 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 2% (won 96% of 24) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 32% (won 98% of 333) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 51% (won 98% of 527) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 14% (won 97% of 147) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | rayvanmechelen | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli opposite sides · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild | — | — | Franco Roncadelli $1 | Thiago Seyboth Wild $12K |
| Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter | — | — | Andres Andrade $5 | James Kent Trotter $10K |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | — | Heat $3 | Warriors $107 |