Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4RN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816surfandturf
Record (consensus markets)68% (43–20, n=63)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)61% (495–320, n=815)52% (273–252, n=525)
Consensus PnL$5.8M$13.4M$4.8M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #51was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus100% (2 of 2 open)71% (5 of 7 open)67% (4 of 6 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115NFL −11 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)15% (won 29% of 125)20% (won 12% of 109)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5518)34% (won 58% of 283)21% (won 46% of 114)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8928)43% (won 69% of 354)33% (won 60% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 100% of 7821)7% (won 80% of 60)26% (won 82% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4RN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816surfandturf
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $6.4KNo $2.7K