← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | cryingbabydicer87 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 47% (6717–7606, n=14323) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $20K | $5.3M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | — | was PM monthly #699 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #105 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 87% (120 of 138 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (81 of 110 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Crypto −2 pts, n=3902 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 51% of 4244 at avg 52¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 41% (won 8% of 1743) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 13% (won 39% of 571) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 8% (won 72% of 360) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 37% (won 96% of 1570) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | cryingbabydicer87 | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $123 | — | No $495K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $19 | — | No $42K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $15 | — | No $31K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $28 | — | No $30K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $45 | — | No $29K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $15 | — | No $25K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $15 | — | No $20K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $2 | — | No $12K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | — | No $13 | — | No $678 |