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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4joseph00677MadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (10–12, n=22)47% (1131–1278, n=2409)48% (14234–15729, n=29963)
Consensus PnL—$5.3M-$32K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2was PM monthly #953PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position61% (14 of 23 open)48% (12 of 25 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 100% of 26)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)17% (won 100% of 85)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)19% (won 100% of 94)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)59% (won 100% of 296)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4joseph00677MadridTimeRN1
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Polina Kudermetova
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
——Janice Tjen $2.8KJanice Tjen $14K
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau
same side · consensus Matteo Martineau
——Matteo Martineau $2.3KMatteo Martineau $4.6K