Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4joseph00677MadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (10–12, n=22)46% (1332–1580, n=2912)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL—$5.3M$42K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #171PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)58% (21 of 36 open)62% (16 of 26 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 792 at avg 71¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 100% of 58)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 100% of 158)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)15% (won 100% of 120)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)58% (won 100% of 456)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4joseph00677MadridTimeRN1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.2MNo $21K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Claire Liu
——Claire Liu $17KClaire Liu $12K