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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | northdrawer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 59% (10827–7630, n=18457) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $5.6M | $4.1M | $47K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #26 | PM monthly #162 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 76% (28 of 37 open) | 70% (63 of 90 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | Weather −2 pts, n=942 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 40% of 5327 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 56% (won 0% of 2980) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 2% (won 44% of 129) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 4% (won 62% of 209) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 38% (won 96% of 2009) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | northdrawer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $93K | No $338 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $60K | No $104 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $4.0K | No $42 |