Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4joseph00677primmquietparcel
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (10–9, n=19)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)44% (6321–8135, n=14456)
Consensus PnL—$5.6M$3.6M$45K
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #48PM monthly #254
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position57% (8 of 14 open)82% (170 of 208 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MMA +2 pts n=16, ROI +2%
Weakest topic———Mentions −4 pts, n=646
Settled positions, side won—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)58% (won 1% of 3260)
Entries 30–50¢—6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 405)2% (won 39% of 118)
Entries 50–70¢—65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 485)4% (won 60% of 198)
Entries 70¢ and up—18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)36% (won 96% of 2049)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.