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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | kaxel78 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 28% (439–1155, n=1594) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $50K | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #56 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 83% (19 of 23 open) | 73% (112 of 154 open) | 61% (27 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Elections −1 pts, n=184 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 47% of 633 at avg 48¢, ROI +14% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 48% (won 3% of 301) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 5% (won 55% of 33) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 4% (won 54% of 28) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 43% (won 94% of 271) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | kaxel78 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $18K | No $842 |