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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4ndb1primmquietparcel
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (888–469, n=1357)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)44% (6313–8127, n=14440)
Consensus PnL—$4.2M$3.5M$45K
Tracked as—PM monthly #146PM monthly #50PM monthly #251
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position74% (35 of 47 open)no open consensus position83% (177 of 213 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • MMA +2 pts n=16, ROI +2%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139—Mentions −4 pts, n=646
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)58% (won 1% of 3260)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)2% (won 39% of 118)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)4% (won 60% of 198)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)36% (won 96% of 2049)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.