← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | primm | RN1 | THG. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) | 56% (27284–21366, n=48650) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $3.6M | $14.8M | $23K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | was PM monthly #902 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (7 of 7 open) | 56% (75 of 135 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10417 at avg 85¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 0% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 26% (won 99% of 2670) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 0% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 74% (won 100% of 7741) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | primm | RN1 | THG. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Central Michigan $4.2K | Eastern Michigan $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $161 | Central Michigan $50 | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Central Michigan $6 | Eastern Michigan $4 | — |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-14.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | — | Central Michigan $4.9K | Central Michigan $3.3K | — |