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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)no settled market
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$14.8M—
Tracked as—PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinned—
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position53% (10 of 19 open)60% (49 of 82 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)—
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)—
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)—
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4primmRN1Uniform123
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $6.5KJaguars $7.0K—
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $2.0KJaguars $3.7K—
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.0KOver $1.4K—
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $4Jaguars $2.9K—
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
—James Madison $2.2KSouthern Miss $616—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KOver $890—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $741Under $1.5K—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.8KOver $244—
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $1.1KUTSA $226—
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $510Jaguars $180—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $42KFlorida Atlantic $19K—
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $1.2KRavens $765—
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $94Ravens $1.1K—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $47Southern Miss $498—