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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
| bernardbulletin | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (708–295, n=1003) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $184K | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #722 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (62 of 85 open) | 78% (42 of 54 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||
| Weakest topic | Soccer −13 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 61% of 1041 at avg 56¢, ROI +6% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 15% of 238) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 45% of 186) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 68% of 228) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 37% (won 94% of 389) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bernardbulletin | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $7.0K | Yes $38K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | No $35K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $96 | No $167K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $4.1K | No $85K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | Yes $71K |