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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
big8betzFlaznorpndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)51% (60–58, n=118)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)63% (1095–632, n=1727)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$114K$4.1M$4.6M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #230PM monthly #9PM monthly #111PM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus63% (5 of 8 open)70% (113 of 161 open)72% (73 of 101 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +17 pts n=28, ROI +13%
  • NBA +7 pts n=30, ROI +12%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNFL −2 pts, n=11Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won57% of 76 at avg 48¢, ROI +11%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 27% of 11)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 44% of 27)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 77% of 35)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 33% of 3)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbig8betzFlaznorpndb1S-Works
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7.3KNo $31K——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $6.5K76ers $764——