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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bigbeliever | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (3–1, n=4) | 48% (12851–13947, n=26798) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (945–947, n=1892) |
| Consensus PnL | $75K | $13.4M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #301 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 45% (5 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3 at avg 71¢, ROI +56% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 100% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 100% of 2) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | bigbeliever | RN1 | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-5.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | Steelers $14 | — | Steelers $963 |