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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
blketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (576–717, n=1293)35% (3647–6650, n=10297)52% (6615–6145, n=12760)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.0M$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #128PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (22 of 25 open)67% (12 of 18 open)78% (121 of 155 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)—29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)—16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)—16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)—39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketblketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026Flaznorp
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
——Alexandra Shubladze $60KSorana Cirstea $15K
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Polina Kudermetova
opposite sides · consensus Janice Tjen
——Janice Tjen $820Polina Kudermetova $503
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Martineau
——Maxim Mrva $758Matteo Martineau $445
Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Sixers
opposite sides · consensus Sydney Sixers
——Sydney Sixers $85Melbourne Stars $56
Counter-Strike: SAW Youngsters vs Four Magic (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group C
opposite sides · consensus SAW Youngsters
——Four Magic $15SAW Youngsters $14
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KUnder $13K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
same side · consensus Ben Shelton
——Tommy Paul $5.0KTommy Paul $45
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus PARIVISION
——Natus Vincere $4.4KNatus Vincere $411
Sydney FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $622Over $2.5K
Victoria Women T20I: Uganda Women vs Namibia Women
same side · consensus Namibia Women
——Namibia Women $71Namibia Women $6