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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
blketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (576–717, n=1293)35% (3647–6650, n=10297)48% (14232–15729, n=29961)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #128PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (22 of 25 open)67% (12 of 18 open)61% (20 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)—10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)—22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)—35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)—33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketblketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $1.6K
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Martineau
——Maxim Mrva $795Matteo Martineau $1.4K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze
same side · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
——Alexandra Shubladze $59KAlexandra Shubladze $46K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KOver $360