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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| blue.birds | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (1918–3455, n=5373) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.7K | $11.2M | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #456 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #149 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (8 of 9 open) | 50% (11 of 22 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) | 64% (107 of 166 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | Crypto −6 pts, n=1141 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 16% of 1141 at avg 22¢, ROI −4% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 74% (won 1% of 843) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 13% of 87) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 53% of 93) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 97% of 118) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | blue.birds | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $56K | — | No $146 |