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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| boyau | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (169–245, n=414) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 47% (14123–15612, n=29735) |
| Consensus PnL | $800K | $5.3M | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #405 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (22 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 68% (106 of 155 open) | 53% (16 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 408 at avg 31¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 59% (won 10% of 242) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 58% of 60) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 75% of 53) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 100% of 53) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | boyau | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $69K | — | No $29K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5.7K | — | No $42K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $15K | — | No $678 | — |