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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| boyau | joseph00677 | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (169–245, n=414) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (20929–20600, n=41529) |
| Consensus PnL | $807K | $5.3M | $3.2M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #401 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (23 of 28 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (81 of 111 open) | 70% (32 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 408 at avg 31¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 59% (won 10% of 242) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 58% of 60) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 75% of 53) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 100% of 53) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | boyau | joseph00677 | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $69K | — | No $29K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5.7K | — | No $42K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $15K | — | No $678 | — |