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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| boyau | joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (171–244, n=415) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 50% (1151–1158, n=2309) |
| Consensus PnL | $800K | $5.3M | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #346 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #47 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (25 of 30 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (62 of 85 open) | 71% (12 of 17 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 411 at avg 31¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 59% (won 10% of 242) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 59% of 61) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 74% of 54) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 100% of 54) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | boyau | joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $69K | — | No $30K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $20K | — | No $42K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $15K | — | No $678 | — |