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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| buoys | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (700–742, n=1442) | 52% (6403–5995, n=12398) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $94K | $3.6M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #878 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (37 of 63 open) | 75% (222 of 295 open) | 73% (54 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Science −10 pts, n=16 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 47% of 1664 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 12% of 686) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 48% of 269) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 19% (won 68% of 308) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 91% of 401) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.