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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| buoys | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (882–961, n=1843) | 55% (13343–10705, n=24048) | 63% (1101–635, n=1736) | 48% (19652–21409, n=41061) |
| Consensus PnL | $99K | $1.4M | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #975 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (110 of 168 open) | 65% (79 of 121 open) | 69% (68 of 98 open) | 59% (16 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Science −12 pts, n=19 | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1752 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 42% (won 12% of 735) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 47% of 286) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 67% of 317) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 91% of 414) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | buoys | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev opposite sides · consensus Adrian Andreev | — | Adrian Andreev $7.9K | — | Nikita Mashtakov $24K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.5K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $872 | — | Over $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $446 | — | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $873 | — | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $491 | — | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $837 | — | Yes $60 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1 | — | No $357 | — |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $256 | — | No $12 |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie same side · consensus Cameron Norrie | — | Cameron Norrie $12K | — | Cameron Norrie $19K |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo same side · consensus Tomas Machac | — | Tomas Machac $1.8K | — | Tomas Machac $17K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $95 | — | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $751 | — | Boluspor $44 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $721 | — | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $173 | — | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $203 | — | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $51 | — | Over $29 |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | — | No $4 | — | No $21 |