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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| buoys | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (882–961, n=1843) | 43% (11779–15353, n=27132) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) | 47% (1430–1597, n=3027) |
| Consensus PnL | $101K | -$9.5M | $4.6M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #975 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #110 | PM monthly #39 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (109 of 172 open) | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 71% (67 of 95 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Science −12 pts, n=19 | — | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1752 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 42% (won 12% of 735) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 5% (won 95% of 59) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 47% of 286) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 40% (won 99% of 512) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 67% of 317) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 50% (won 100% of 633) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 91% of 414) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 5% (won 100% of 65) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | buoys | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1 | — | No $357 | — |