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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| buoys | joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (878–960, n=1838) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) |
| Consensus PnL | $99K | $5.3M | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #975 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (111 of 174 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (108 of 149 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Science −12 pts, n=19 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 1752 at avg 41¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 42% (won 12% of 735) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 47% of 286) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 67% of 317) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 91% of 414) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | buoys | joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1 | — | No $357 | — |