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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
classifiedjuice-fruitpetanimalSineNooneEI
Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)100% (1–0, n=1)no settled market100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$2.6K$152K$11$111K
Tracked asPM monthly #331PM monthly #29was PM monthly #283PM monthly #112
Sides with the consensus58% (7 of 12 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicElections −2 pts, n=101———
Settled positions, side won51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2%100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40%—92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢46% (won 4% of 152)2% (won 100% of 1)—5% (won 83% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 47% of 15)25% (won 100% of 12)—36% (won 88% of 182)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 78% of 23)44% (won 100% of 21)—44% (won 93% of 224)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 98% of 144)29% (won 100% of 14)—16% (won 99% of 82)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketclassifiedjuice-fruitpetanimalSineNooneEI
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $122—Yes $2.0K—