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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| cosmicxbt | RN1 | sainttroplay | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (30–12, n=42) | 48% (12930–14106, n=27036) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 62% (393–246, n=639) |
| Consensus PnL | -$223K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #82 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 67% (8 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 80% of 40 at avg 74¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 0% of 1) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 67% of 15) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 60% (won 92% of 24) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cosmicxbt | RN1 | sainttroplay | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders same side · consensus Commanders | Commanders $82K | Commanders $27K | — | — |