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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| darkumbreon88 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (1753–924, n=2677) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $215K | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #806 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 90% (9 of 10 open) | 73% (72 of 99 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1584 at avg 69¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 18) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 100% of 152) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 100% of 595) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 52% (won 100% of 819) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | darkumbreon88 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $254 | Magic $24K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $228 | Chiefs $465K | — |